Consensus Valuation

A consensus valuation is a methodology that aggregates multiple independent valuation signals — primary round prices, secondary marketplace marks, public comparable company analyses — and produces a single weighted estimate that no individual source publishes alone.

The rationale: any single source has biases. Last-round prices may be stale; secondary marks may reflect a thin or distressed market; comparables may not translate cleanly. A weighted cross-source consensus is more robust than any single signal, particularly for companies that haven't raised in 12–18 months.

Illustrative example: a company's last primary round implied a $10B valuation (18 months ago). Secondary market transactions are pricing at $7–8B. Public comparable multiples, applied to the company's estimated revenue, imply $8.5B. A weighted consensus — applying higher confidence to more recent signals — might arrive at approximately $8B as the cross-verified estimate.

The edge the pros know: consensus valuations are only as good as the underlying data quality. econ.markets publishes its methodology explicitly, requiring ≥2 independent Tier-1/2 sources per signal before inclusion. Buyers should always ask what inputs back a consensus estimate and how recently each was verified — a "consensus" built on one primary round plus one stale press report is effectively just one number.