Valuation & IPO

SpaceX Valuation Growth Rate: 127% Annualized

An econ.markets research-desk breakdown of SpaceX's valuation momentum and modeled IPO odds — the computed growth rate Sacra omits.

By econ.markets research desk

SpaceX's valuation is growing 127% annualized — a +128.6% increase from $350B (Dec 2024) to $800B (Dec 2025) over a 368-day window, per econ.markets' computed valuation-momentum model. That makes it one of the fastest-appreciating private companies of its size, with modeled IPO odds of 60% over the next 24 months.

How fast is SpaceX's valuation growing

SpaceX's valuation is growing 127% annualized (a +128.6% increase) from $350B to $800B over 368 days — econ.markets estimate. This growth rate is calculated using the formula: pctChange = (last−first)/first ; annualized = (last/first)^(365/days) − 1. For more information on our valuation methodology, please visit our website.

The latest valuation of $800B was reported by CNBC and Bloomberg on December 13, 2025.

From $350B to $800B: the doubling explained

The doubling of SpaceX's valuation from $350B to $800B can be explained by the company's recent funding rounds and growth prospects. According to Fortune, the company's valuation has increased significantly over the past year.

Prior to the latest valuation, SpaceX's valuation was reported to be around $400B in a share sale on July 8, 2025, as reported by Bloomberg and TechCrunch.

The annualized math, transparently

The annualized growth rate of 127% is calculated using the formula: annualized = (last/first)^(365/days) − 1. In this case, the last valuation is $800B, the first valuation is $350B, and the number of days is 368.

By plugging in these numbers, we get: annualized = (800/350)^(365/368) − 1 = 127%. For more information on our valuation methodology, please visit our website.

SpaceX IPO odds: our 60% model and its named drivers

The IPO odds of SpaceX are 60% over the next 24 months, per our IPO-odds methodology. The drivers are the company’s age, pace of funding rounds and comparables exit rate. Critically, SpaceX has not filed an S-1 registration — the single biggest brake on the estimate, which is why it sits at 60% rather than near-certainty.

The transparent formula is p = logistic(−1.6 + 0.18·(age/5) + 2.4·S1 + 0.5·pace + 1.8·compRate − 0.12·staleness), with the S1 term switched off for SpaceX. See the IPO-odds dataset for the running series.

Is the growth sustainable / overvalued question

The question of whether SpaceX's growth is sustainable or overvalued is a complex one. While the company's valuation has increased significantly over the past year, its revenue context is not independently verified here.

However, according to CNBC, the company's growth prospects and recent funding rounds suggest that the valuation may be justified.

How to think about pre-IPO exposure + what the data does and doesn't tell you

When considering pre-IPO exposure to SpaceX, it's essential to understand what the data does and doesn't tell you. While our valuation methodology provides a estimate of the company's valuation, it's crucial to remember that pre-IPO valuations are illiquid and based on private secondary transactions.

These are modeled estimates, not investment advice. For more information on the SpaceX market, please visit our website.

Frequently asked questions

How much has SpaceX's valuation grown in the last year?

SpaceX's valuation has grown 127% annualized from $350B to $800B

What is SpaceX's valuation growth rate?

SpaceX's valuation growth rate is 127% annualized

How did SpaceX go from $350 billion to $800 billion?

SpaceX's valuation doubled from $350B to $800B due to recent funding rounds and growth prospects

What will SpaceX be valued at after IPO?

The valuation of SpaceX after IPO is uncertain and depends on various factors

Is SpaceX overvalued before its IPO?

The question of whether SpaceX is overvalued is complex and depends on various factors, including revenue context

What are the odds SpaceX will IPO in 2026?

The econ.markets model estimates SpaceX's IPO odds at 60% over the next 24 months. SpaceX has not filed an S-1 registration, the single biggest brake holding the probability below near-certainty.

How fast is SpaceX growing compared to its revenue?

The revenue context of SpaceX is not independently verified here, making it difficult to compare growth rates

Sources

Trade SpaceX momentum

Go Long or Short on SpaceX's trajectory on econ.markets. Synthetic, reversible markets — prices shown are indicative, not investment advice.

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